October 2024 Employment Cost Index: The Right Kind of Cooling

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The latest Employment Cost Index data suggests that employers feel less need to raise pay to attract and retain workers. Wage and salary growth for private-sector workers fell below 4% year-over-year in the third quarter, the first such reading since June 2021, an unofficial milestone that marks steady progress in easing US inflationary pressures. While wage growth remains above historical levels, the cooling trend over the last few years is clear.

But even as wage growth has slowed, it remains higher than the pace of inflation, giving a meaningful boost to workers’ purchasing power. And pockets of the market remain

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