March 2026 Jobs Report: A Bumpy Road and a Moving Finish Line

Key points:

Nonfarm employers added a surprising 178,000 jobs in March and the unemployment rate declined to 4.3 percent, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Even with today’s positive report, net job creation has been minimal for more than a year, continuing the now-entrenched low-hire/low-fire dynamic.  The monthly break-even rate has undoubtedly fallen and may be near

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