Divisive Politics, Uneasy Economics: Polarization’s Impacts on the US Economy
Inflation remains elevated. Bank failures still spook investors. Layoffs – limited to tech giants, so far – cast a wide shadow....
Tag: US
Nothing Leisurely About These Healthy Sectors
The labor market remains strong, but there has been some softening since the incredible growth and demand seen last...
Inflation is in a Holding Pattern
The road to the Federal Reserve’s goal of 2% inflation has been long and winding, and it seems it...
Not Exactly Cool, But Cooler
This hot labor market is cooler – but it will take a lot to actually call it “cool”. On...
A Spring Update on the State of Recruiting
The labor market has been unprecedentedly tight since 2021 – finding the right worker has been nearly impossible. However,...
The US Job Market is Cooling on Cue
The majority of economists have decided the Fed’s soft-landing is improbable, but the labor market is cooling right on...
Why Do Some Economists Believe A Recession Can Be Avoided?
Last week I detailed why most economists – 58% according to one survey – think the U.S. economy will enter a...
Why Economists Believe A Recession is Likely in 2023
A majority of economists forecast a recession for the U.S. in 2023 – 58 percent, according to a survey...
The Fed’s Balancing Act
Today, the Federal Reserve faced its toughest decision perhaps in decades. In the last couple of weeks, an intense...
In a Tight Labor Market, Unions Are Smaller but Bolder
Throughout 2022, the labor movement made headlines in various industries and states across the country. Reports of strikes and...
Demography is Destiny
The post-pandemic labor market has been extremely tight with many vacancies left unfilled. Many advanced economies are facing severe...
The Fed’s Dilemma: Financial Distress or Entrenched Inflation?
Silicon Valley Bank’s failure from a lightning-quick bank run on March 10, the second largest in US history, has...
Hitting The Snooze Button on the Recession Alarm Clock
The U.S. added 311,000 net new jobs in February and the unemployment rate rose to 3.6%. For the eleventh...
The Great Labor Market Rebalancing
2022’s Labor Market: A Recap Last year’s labor market can be described succinctly as “unpredictable.” Some industries, like leisure...
Inflation Came in Hot, But Consumers Remain Hotter
Consumers spent strongly at the start of the year, complicating the Federal Reserve’s efforts to slow inflation. The Personal...
Women Are Fueling The Labor Force Recovery. Can It Last?
At the onset of the pandemic, females in the workforce suffered. From February to April 2020, prime-age labor force...
Inflationship Status? It’s Complicated
Inflation has seeped into our economy and taken over public discourse. And, though we are all obsessed with inflation...
The US Economy Shrugged off a “Vibecession” Last Year
Kyla Scanlon popularized the notion of a “vibecession” last year. It’s a funny term that means serious business. The...
Why Are Recruiting Costs Easing?
The tight labor market and competitive nature of recruiting since 2020 sent key costs like cost-per-application and cost-per-click skyrocketing....
A “Wow” Jobs Report
The U.S. labor market continues to leave us searching for superlatives. Simply put: it’s on a tear, adding 517,000...