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July 2025 Jobs Day Statement: Balancing on One Leg

Key points:

Today’s jobs report officially ripped the mask off the market. The underlying weakness that had been apparent just under the surface came into full view after major downward revisions showed the past few months of seemingly steady jobs growth to be basically nonexistent. Entering 2025, the jobs market was largely held up by a three-legged stool of healthcare and social assistance, leisure & hospitality, and government hiring. Now, only healthcare and social assistance remain standing and steadily adding jobs — but it’s difficult to hold the rest of the market up with one leg.

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