April 2025 Jobs Day Statement: The Data Still Don’t Match the Vibes

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Key Points:

U.S. employers added 177,000 jobs in April, down from a downwardly revised 185,000 in March, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The U.S. unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%. The share of workers who were long-term unemployed (out of work for 27 weeks or more) rose to 23.5% in April, the highest share in three years. Average hourly earnings rose by 3.8% in April from a year earlier.

For another month, the actual data coming from a key US jobs report failed to justify the bad vibes and anxiety that preceded it. Against most

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