April 2024 JOLTS Report: Can We Stick the Landing?

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Key points:

Job openings fell to 8.1 million in April, their lowest level since February 2021. The ratio of job openings to unemployed workers is now just above its average level in 2019, a sign the US labor market is rebalanced. Quitting and hiring held steady at rates below where they stood just before the pandemic, indicating that churn in the labor market is subdued but hasn’t been snuffed out.

The labor market’s descent continues to be smooth, but don’t take that as a guarantee the ride will stay so serene. The substantial decline in job openings in

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